Date: Thu, 11 Mar 1999 14:15:53 -0600
From: Paul J Roebber <roebber@csd.uwm.edu>
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To: eegle-pi@wings.glerl.noaa.gov, fieldwork@glerl.noaa.gov
Subject: Forecast

> Things are shaping up to be fairly quiet, weatherwise, until Sunday. At
> that time, a new, extremely vigorous low pressure system will develop in
> the southeastern U.S., bringing increasing NE winds to Lake Michigan.
> Current indications are that although the system is developing well
> south of the region, rapid intensification and slow northward migration
> of the storm will produce significant winds over this region on
> Sunday-Monday (20-30 knot winds). The winds could be much higher,
> depending on the actual location of the storm track and details of the
> subsequent development. At this point, it is only possible to indicate
> that the potential for strong winds exists during that time period.
> Daily updates will continue.
>

Latest information calls for the storm system to develop as before,
except that the track takes it slightly further east. This keeps the
strong winds outside of the Lake Michigan region. This track is more
consistent with my experience in watching these systems in that it
travels more along the eastern seaboard rather than due North from the
SE U.S.

Consequently, I am more confident now that the storm will miss us to the
east. However, I will continue to watch it and issue updates as the
verification time approaches. There are no other strong storms on the
horizon.

Paul Roebber