Scott Peacor - Michigan State University
Conventional food web models omit phenotypic plasticity and evolutionary history, two features of ecological communities that likely have a large influence in the structure and dynamics of Great Lakes food webs. I am using new computational methods to develop a modeling approach of food webs that allows the incorporation, and examination of the importance, of these features. A computational system, called “Digital Organisms in a Virtual Ecosystem” (DOVE), will use evolutionary algorithms (developed in computer science) to represent individual organism behavior in an individually based model. Simulated natural selection allows species to evolve, and solve the complex problem of persistence in the presence of multiple tradeoffs. I will use DOVE to study problems concerning contribution of predator-induced changes in prey phenotype (including behavior) to the net effect of predators and invasive species.
There are two principal initial goal applications of DOVE:
We are developing a computational model to examine food webs. The computational model is designed to address the challenges associated with the complexity of ecological communities listed above that are difficult to impossible to address with traditional approaches. We plan to apply this model to two problems concerning Great Lakes food webs.
The computational model (called DOVE - Digital Organisms in a Virtual Ecosystem) draws on new computational techniques being developed in computer science and the multidisciplinary field of complex systems research. In particular, DOVE is an agent-based model (ABM, also called individually based models) which simulate the multiple interactions between individual “agents” (i.e. an individual fish) and the environment. Individual agents are given rules that describe their interactions with each other and the environment, and the population properties “emerge” rather than being determined by global parameters set in the model. Agents are typically heterogeneous, with trait frequencies varying in both space and time. An example of an ABM is SORTIE used to examine forest dynamics. Further, the organism’s behavior in DOVE will be determined by evolutionary algorithms, for example Genetic Algorithms (GAs). GAs are abstract models of Darwinian evolution by variation and selection of heritable traits (Holland, 1975, 1992). With genetic algorithms, a solution to a problem is given a genome (or chromosome). The genetic algorithm then creates a population of solutions and applies genetic operators such as mutation and crossover to evolve the solutions in order to find the best one.
DOVE will be a computational system that allows the construction of relatively persistent “virtual ecosystems” of multiple interacting populations of digital organisms species. Each “species” will have solved the problem of surviving on a complex landscape with multiple predators, competitors and resources in unique ways. For example, the digital organisms, like their real organism counterparts, face a tradeoff between acquiring resources and being preyed upon when they move to search for resources. Some species will likely solve this problem by conserving resources and avoiding risk, while others will move rapidly in order to attain high reproductive rates at the cost of high mortality due to predation. There also may be much variation in the structure of the persistent communities.
To examine “invasion biology” we added a feature that allows the invasion of propagules of an “invader” species:
Similar to all individually based models, DOVE is complex, and therefore it is helpful to build and analyze more simple parallel models. This serves two principal purposes.
First, it allows for a test of DOVEs implementation in more simple cases - that is, a way to find bugs.
Second, it allows comparison of DOVE to more traditional cases. We have continued to develope two parallel approaches that were started last year. First, a differential equation based model that can predict equilibrium densities of consumers and resources in very simple scenarios. And second, a Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) model, that is in initial stages of development. We have applied these models to the Lake-Michigan Bythotrephes-Daphnia system that Peacor studies with graduate student Kevin Pangle. Initial results are indicating that the observed migratory response of Daphnia is adaptive (and similar to model predictions). We are able to disentangle the relative contribution of nonlethal effects of Bythotrephes, and find that it is a substantial contribution of its net effect on Daphnia population growth rate.
A paper was submitted to PloS Biology based on DOVE results on how phenotypic plasticity effects invasion biology. The paper was accepted in this highly regarded journal.
Bolker, B., Holyoak, M., Krivan, V., Rowe, L., and Schmitz, O. 2003. Connecting theoretical and empirical studies of trait-mediated interactions. Ecology 84:1101-1114.
Holland J. H. 1975. Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems. The University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Holland J. H. 1992. Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems. 2nd Edition. MIT Press.
Peacor, S.D., and E.E. Werner. 2001. The contribution of trait-mediated indirect effects to the net effects of a predator. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98:3904-3908.
Werner, E. E. and Peacor, S. D. 2003. A review of trait-mediated indirect interactions. Ecology 84: 1083-1100.
Peacor, S. D, S. Allesina, T. S. Hunter, and R. L. Riolo. A new computational system, DOVE (Digital Organisms in a Virtual Ecosystem), to study phenotypic plasticity and its effects in food webs. Ecological modeling. Accepted pending revisions
Peacor, S. D, S. Allesina, R. L. Riolo, and M. Pascual. 2006. Phenotypic plasticity opposes species invasions by altering fitness surface. PLoS Biology 4(11): e372.
Peacor, S.D., R. Riolo, and M. Pascual, 2005. Phenotypic plasticity and species coexistence: modeling food webs as complex adaptive systems. (Book chapter, submitted, 2004)
Scott Peacor, S.D. and R. Lanfear. 2003. Digital Organisms in a Virtual Environment (DOVE). Center for Biological Modeling Biological Networks Symposium. Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.
Button, K. A., Pangle, K. L., and Peacor, S. D. Prey responding adaptively to an invasive predator: relative importance of trait and density effects. Michigan State University Invasive Species Symposium, East Lansing, MI. May 2006. (Recipient of best student poster award)
Peacor, S.D., S. Allesina, R. Riolo, and M. Pascual. Phenotypic-plasticity increases species coexistence by changing the steepness of an adaptive landscape. 90th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of America, Montreal, Quebec, August 2005.
Peacor, S. D., S. Allesina, R. Riolo, and M. Pascual. Phenotypic plasticity and species coexistence: modeling food webs as complex and adaptive systems. Kellogg Biological Station, Michigan State University. Hickory Corners, MI. April 2005.
Peacor, S. D., S. Allesina, R. Riolo, and M. Pascual. Phenotypic Plasticity and Species Coexistence. Netherlands Institute of Ecology Centre for Limnology, Nieuwersluis, The Netherlands. June 2005.
Peacor, S. D., S. Allesina, R. Riolo, and M. Pascual. Phenotypic Plasticity and Species Coexistence. Leibniz-Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany. July 2005.
Peacor, S.D., R. Riolo, and M. Pascual, 2004. Phenotypic-plasticity increases persistence in an individual-based model in which artificial evolution determines organism behavior. Ecological Society of American 2004 Annual Meeting, Portland Oregon. Session: “Linking Individual Behavior and Population Ecology: Models, Theory, and Applications”
Workshop at Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM. “From Structure to
Dynamics in Complex Ecological Networks”.
a) Peacor, S.D. 2004. “Phenotypic plasticity and trait-mediated indirect interactions”
b) Peacor, S.D., R. Riolo, M. Pascual, E. Goodman and J. Holland. 2004. “Computational System to Examine the Origin and Effects of Phenotypic Plasticity in Food Webs”
Peacor, S. D., and R. Lanfear. 2003. Digital organisms in a virtual environment (DOVE). Center for Biological Modeling Symposium. East Lansing, MI.
Peacor, S. D. Digital organisms in a Virtual Ecosystem. Zoology department. University of Gainsville. Gainsville, Florida. 2003.