GLERL Publications for FY 2015
October 2014 - September 2015

Ahmed, S., C.D. Troy, and N. HAWLEY. Spatial structure of internal Poincare waves in Lake Michigan. Environmental Fluid Mechanics 14(5):1229-1249 (DOI:10.1007/s10652-013-9294-3) (2014).

Alves, J.H., A. Chawla, H.L. Tolman, D.J. SCHWAB, G.A. LANG, and G. Mann. The operational implementation of a Great Lakes wave forecasting system at NOAA/NCEP. Weather and Forecasting 29(6):1473-1497 (DOI:10.1175/WAF-D-12-00049.1) (2014).

Angeler, D.G., C.R. Allen, C. Barichievy, T. Eason, A.S. Garmestani, N.A.J. Graham, D. Granholm, L. Gunderson, M. Knutson, K.L. Nash, R.J. Nelson, M. Nystrom, T. Spanbauer, C.A. STOW, and S.M. Sundstrom. Management applications of discontinuity theory. Journal of Applied Ecology:11 pp. (DOI:10.1111/1365-2664.12494) (2015).

Arhonditsis, G.B., C.A. STOW, Y.R. Rao, and G. Perhar. What has been accomplished twenty years after the Oreskes et al. (1994) critique? Current state and future perspectives of environmental modeling in the Great Lakes. Journal of Great Lakes Research 40(Supplement 3):1-7 (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2014.11.002) (2014).

BAI, X., H. HU, J. WANG, Y. Yu, E. Cassano, and J. Maslanik. Responses of surface heat flux, sea ice, and ocean dynamics in the Chukchi-Beaufort Sea to storm passages during winter 2006/2007: A numerical study. Deep Sea Research I 102:101-117 (DOI:10.1016/j.dsr.2015.04.008) (2015).

BAI, X., J. WANG, J. Austin, D.J. SCHWAB, R.A. ASSEL, A.H. CLITES, J.F. BRATTON, M.C. COLTON, J. Lenters, B.M. LOFGREN, T. Wohlleben, S. Helfrich, H.A. VANDERPLOEG, L. LUO, and G.A. LESHKEVICH. A record-breaking low ice cover over the Great Lakes during winter 2011/2012: Combined effects of a strong positive NAO and La Nina. Climate Dynamics 44(5-6):1187-1213 (DOI:10.1007/s00382-014-2225-2) (2015).

Bootsma, H.A., M.D. ROWE, C.N. Brooks, and H.A. VANDERPLOEG. Commentary: The need for model development related to Cladophora and nutrient management in Lake Michigan. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41:9 pp. (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2015.03.023) (2015).

BURTON, G.A. Losing sight of science in the regulatory push to ban microbeads from consumer products and industrial use. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management 11(3):346-347 (DOI:10.1002/ieam.1645) (2015).

Cha, Y.K., and C.A. STOW. Mining web-based data to assess public response to environmental events. Environmental Pollution 198:97-99 (DOI:10.1016/j.envpol.2014.12.027) (2015).

Cooke, R.M., M.E. Wittmann, D.M. Lodge, J.D. Rothlisberger, E.S. RUTHERFORD, H. ZHANG, and D.M. MASON. Out-of-sample validation for structured expert judgment of Asian Carp establishment in Lake Erie. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management 10(4):522-528 (2014).

David, S.R., R.S. Kik, J.S. Diana, E.S. RUTHERFORD, and M.J. Wiley. Evidence of countergradient variation in growth of Spotted Gars from core and peripheral populations. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 144(4):837-850 (DOI:10.1080/00028487.2015.1040523) (2015).

DAVIS, T.W., G.S. Bullerjahn, T. Tuttle, R.M. McKay, and S.B. Watson. Effects of increasing nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations on phytoplankton community growth and toxicity during Planktothrix blooms in Sandusky Bay, Lake Erie. Environmental Science & Technology 49:7197-7207 (DOI:10.1021/acs.est.5b00799) (2015).

Foley, C.J., G.J. Bowen, T.F. NALEPA, M.S. Sepulveda, and T.O. Hook. Stable isotope patterns of benthic organisms from the Great Lakes region indicate variable dietary overlap of Diporeia spp. and dreissenid mussels. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 71:1784-1795 (DOI:10.1139/cjfas-2013-0620) (2014).

Fraker, M.E., E.J. ANDERSON, R.M. Brodnik, L. Carreon-Martinez, K.M. DeVanna, B.J. Fryer, D.D. Heath, J.M. Reichert, and S.A. Ludsin. Particle backtracking improves breeding subpopulation discrimination and natal-source identification in mixed populations. PLOS One 10(3):24 pp. (DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0120752) (2015).

Fraker, M.E., E.J. ANDERSON, C. May, K.-Y. Chen, J.J. Davis, K.M. DeVanna, M.R. DuFour, E.A. Marschall, C.M. Mayer, J.G. Miner, K.L. Pangle, J.J. Pritt, E.F. Roseman, J.T. Tyson, Y. Zhao, and S.A. Ludsin. Stock-specific advection of larval walleye (Sander vitreus) in western Lake Erie: Implications for larval growth, mixing, and stock discrimination. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41:16 (DOI:doi:10.1016/j.jglr.2015.04.008) (2015).

FRY, L.M., A.D. GRONEWOLD, V. Fortin, S. Buan, A.H. CLITES, C. Luukkonen, D. Hotsschlag, D. L., T.S. HUNTER, F. Seglenieks, D. Durnford, M. Dimitrijevic, C. Subich, E. Klyszejko, K. KEA, and P. Restrepo. The Great Lakes Runoff Intercomparison Project, Phase 1: Lake Michigan (GRIP-M). Journal of Hydrology 519(Part D):3448-3465 (DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.07.021) (2014).

GLYSHAW, P.W., C.M. Riseng, T.F. Nalepa, and S.A. POTHOVEN. Temporal trends in nutritional state and reproduction of quagga mussels (Dreissena rostriformis bugensis) in southern Lake Michigan. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41(Supplement 2):11 pp. (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2015.08.006) (2015).

GRONEWOLD, A.D., E.J. ANDERSON, B.M. LOFGREN, P.D. Blanken, J. WANG, J.P. SMITH, T.S. HUNTER, G.A. LANG, C.A. STOW, D. BELETSKY, and J.F. BRATTON. Impacts of extreme 2013-2014 winter conditions on Lake Michigan's fall heat content, surface temperature, and evaporation. Geophysical Research Letters 42:7 pp. (DOI:10.1002/2015GL063799) (2015).

GRONEWOLD, A.D., A.H. CLITES, J. Bruxer, K.A. Kompoltowicz, J.P. SMITH, T.S. HUNTER, and C. Wong. Water levels surge on the Great Lakes. Eos 96(6):7 pp. (DOI:10.1029/2015EO026023) (2015).

GRONEWOLD, A.D., A.H. CLITES, and L. Rear-McLaughlin. Great Lakes water levels: Monitoring change in Earth's largest surface freshwater system. In Clear Waters. New York Water Environment Association, Inc., Syracuse, NY, 16-18 pp. (2015).

Gyawali, R., D.W. Watkins, V.W. Griffis, and B.M. LOFGREN. Energy budget considerations for hydro-climatic impact assessment in Great Lakes watersheds. Journal of Great Lakes Research 40(4):940-948 (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2014.09.005) (2014).

He, J.X., J.R. Bence, C.P. Madenjian, S.A. POTHOVEN, N.E. Dobiesz, D.G. Fielder, J.L. Johnson, M.P. Ebener, A.R. Cottrill, L.C. Mohr, and S.R. Koproski. Coupling age structured stock assessment and fish bioenergetics models: A system of time-varying models for quantifying piscivory patterns during the rapid trophic shift in the main basin of Lake Huron. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 72(1):7-23 (DOI:10.1139/cjfas-2014-0161) (2015).

HUNTER, T.S., A.H. CLITES, A.D. GRONEWOLD, and K.B. CAMPBELL. Development and application of a North American Great Lakes hydrometeorological database  - Part I: Precipitation, evaporation, runoff, and air temperature. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41(1):65-77 (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2014.4.12.006) (2015).

IVAN, L.N., D.G. Fielder, M.V. Thomas, and T.O. Hook. Changes in the Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron, fish community from 1970-2011. Journal of Great Lakes Research 40:922-933 (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2014.09.002) (2014).

IVAN, L.N., and T.O. Hook. Energy allocation strategies of young temperate fish: An eco-genetic modeling approach. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences 72(8):1243-1258 (DOI:10.1139/cjfas-2014-0197) (2015).

Jiang, L., M. Xia, S.A. Ludsin, E.S. RUTHERFORD, D.M. MASON, J.M. Jarrin, and K.L. Pangle. Biophysical modeling assessment of the drivers for plankton dynamics in dreissenid-colonized western Lake Erie. Ecological Modelling 308:18-33 (2015).

JOSHI, S.J., A. Stevens, and L. Vaccaro. Saginaw Bay Multiple Stressors and Beyond workshop: Summary report. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-166. NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 28 pp. (2015).

Kao, Y.C., C.P. Madenjian, D.B. Bunnell, B.M. LOFGREN, and M. PERROUD. Temperature effects induced by climate change on the growth and consumption by salmonines in Lakes Michigan and Huron. Environmental Biology of Fishes 98:1089-1104 (DOI:10.1007/s10641-014-0352-6) (2015).

Kao, Y.C., C.P. Madenjian, D.B. Bunnell, B.M. LOFGREN, and M. PERROUD. Potential effects of climate change on the growth of fishes from different thermal guilds in Lakes Michigan and Huron. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41:423-435 (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2015.03.012) (2015).

Kopf, A., T.W. DAVIS, and among 154 others. The Ocean Sampling Day consortium. GigaScience 4(27):5 (DOI:10.1186/s13742-015-0066-5) (2015).

Kult, J.M., L.M. FRY, A.D. GRONEWOLD, and W. Choi. Regionalization of hydrologic response in the Great Lakes basin: Considerations of temporal scales of analysis. Journal of Hydrology 519:2224-2237 (DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.083) (2014).

Lei, R., H. Xie, J. WANG, M. Lepparanta, I. Jonsdottir, and Z. Zhang. Changes in sea ice concentrations along the Arctic Northeast Passage from 1979 to 2012. Cold Regions Science and Technology 119:132-144 (DOI:10.1016/j.coldregions.2015.08.004) (2015).

Liao, X., Y. Du, H. Zhan, P. Shi, and J. WANG. Summertime phytoplankton blooms and surface cooling in the western south equatorial Indian Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans 119:7687-7704 (DOI:10.1002/2014JC010195) (2015).

Link, J., D.M. MASON, T. Lederhouse, S. Gaichas, T. Hartley, J. Ianeli, R. Methot, C. Stock, C.A. STOW, and H. Townsend. Report from the Joint OAR-NMFS Modeling Uncertainty Workshop. NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-F/SPO-153. NOAA National Marine Fisheries Office of Science and Technology, Silver Spring, MD, 31 pp. (2015).

LIU, P.C. Freaque wave occurrences in 2013. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2:7017-7025 (DOI:10.5194/nhessd-2-7017-2014) (2014).

LIU, P.C., R. Bouchard, W.E. Rogers, A.V. Babanin, and D.W. Wang. Is there a wind connection to freaque wave occurrences? Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 15:1-17 (DOI:10.5194/nhessd-15-1-2015) (2015).

LOFGREN, B.M. Simulation of atmospheric and lake conditions in the Laurentian Great Lakes region using the Coupled Hydrosphere-Atmosphere Research Model (CHARM). NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-165. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 23 pp. (2014).

LOFGREN, B.M., and J. Rouhana. Reaffirmation of large biases in a long-used method for projecting changes in Great Lakes water levels. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-167. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 25 pp. (2015).

Lynch, A.J., W.W. Taylor, T.D. Beard, and B.M. LOFGREN. Climate change projections for lake whitefish (Coregonus clupeaformis) recruitment in the 1836 Treaty Waters of the upper Great Lakes. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41(2):415-422 (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2015.03.015) (2015).

Madenjian, C.P., D.B. Bunnell, D.M. Warner, S.A. POTHOVEN, G.L. Fahnenstiel, T.F. Nalepa, H.A. VANDERPLOEG, I. Tsehaye, R.M. Claramunt, and R.D. Clark. Changes in the Lake Michigan food web following dreissenid mussel invasions: A synthesis. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41(Supplement 2):15 pp. (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2015.08.009) (2015).

Mayer, A., R. Winkler, and L.M. FRY. Classification of watersheds into integrated social and biophysical indicators with clustering analysis. Ecological Indicators 45:340-349 (DOI:10.1016/j.ecolind.2014.04.030) (2014).

MIEHLS, A.L.J., S.D. Peacor, L. Valliant, and A.G. McAdam. Evolutionary stasis despite selection on a heritable trait in an invasive zooplankton. Journal of Evolutionary Biology 28(5):1091-1102 (DOI:10.1111/jeb.12632) (2015).

Music, B., A. Frigon, B.M. LOFGREN, R. Turcotte, and J.F. Cyr. Present and future Laurentian Great Lakes hydroclimatic conditions as simulated by regional climate models with an emphasis on Lake Michigan-Huron. Climatic Change 130(4):603-618 (DOI:10.1007/s10584-015-1348-8) (2015).

NALEPA, T.F. Relative comparison and perspective on invasive species in the Laurentian and Swedish Great Lakes. Aquatic Ecosystem Health and Management 17(4):394-403 (DOI:10.1080/14634988.2014.972494) (2014).

NALEPA, T.F., D.L. FANSLOW, G.A. LANG, K. MABREY, and M. ROWE. Lake-wide benthic surveys in Lake Michigan in 1994-95, 2000, 2005, and 2010: Abundances of the amphipod Diporeia spp. and abundances and biomass of the mussels Dreissena polymorpha and Dreissena rostriformis bugensis. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-164. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, 21 pp. (2014).

Niu, Q., M. Xia, E.S. RUTHERFORD, D.M. MASON, E.J. ANDERSON, and D.J. SCHWAB. Investigation of interbasin exchange and interannual variability in Lake Erie using an unstructured-grid hydrodynamic model. Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans 120:21 pp. (DOI:10.1002/2014JC010457) (2015).

OBENOUR, D.R., A.D. GRONEWOLD, C.A. STOW, and D. Scavia. Using a Bayesian hierarchical model to improve Lake Erie cyanobacterial bloom forecasts. Water Resources Research 50(10):7847-7860 (DOI:10.1002/2014WR015616) (2014).

POTHOVEN, S.A., and G.L. Fahnenstiel. Declines in the energy content of yearling non-native alewife associated with lower food web changes in Lake Michigan. Fisheries Management and Ecology 21:439-447 (DOI:10.1111/fme.12092) (2014).

POTHOVEN, S.A., and G.L. Fahnenstiel. Spatial and temporal trends in zooplankton assemblages along a nearshore to offshore transect in southeastern Lake Michigan from 2007-2012. Journal of Great Lakes Research - Special Section on Lake Michigan Interactions 41:9 pp. (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2014.09.015) (2015).

POTHOVEN, S.A., and T.O. Hook. Feeding ecology of invasive age-0 white perch and native white bass after two decades of co-existence in Saginaw Bay, Lake Huron. Aquatic Invasions 10(3):347-357 (2015).

QIAN, S.S., C.A. STOW, and Y.K. Cha. Implications of Stein's paradox in environmental standard compliance assessment. Environmental Science & Technology 49(10):5913-5920 (DOI:10.1021/acs.est.5b00656) (2015).

ROCKWELL, D.C., S.J. JOSHI, and H. Wirick. Beach health information needs assessment: 9 years later -- results from follow-up survey. NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-163. NOAA, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI (2014).

ROWE, M.D., E.J. ANDERSON, J. WANG, and H.A. VANDERPLOEG. Modeling the effect of invasive quagga mussels on the spring phytoplankton bloom in Lake Michigan. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41:17 pp. (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2014.12.018) (2015).

ROWE, M.D., D.R. Obenour, T.F. Nalepa, H.A. VANDERPLOEG, F. Yousef, and W.C. Kerfoot. Mapping the spatial distribution of the biomass and filter-feeding effect of invasive dreissenid mussels on the winter-spring phytoplankton bloom in Lake Michigan. Freshwater Biology:15 (DOI:10.1111/fwb.12653) (2015).

Sharma, S., (among 72 others), and G.A. LESHKEVICH. A global database of lake surface temperatures collected by in situ and satellite methods from 1985-2009. Nature Scientific Data:19 pp. (DOI:10.1038/sdata/2015.8) (2015).

Smith, S.D.P., P.B. McIntyre, B.S. Halpern, R.M. Cooke, A.L. Marino, G.L. Boyer, A. Buchsbaum, G.A. BURTON, L.M. Campbell, J.J.H. Ciborowski, P.J. Doran, D.M. Infante, L.B. Johnson, J.G. Read, J.B. Rose, E.S. RUTHERFORD, A.D. Steinman, and J.D. Allan. Rating impacts in a multi-stressor world: A quantitative assessment of 50 stressors affecting the Great Lakes. Ecological Applications 25(3):717-728 (DOI:10.1890/14-0366.1) (2015).

Soranno, P.A., (among 23 others), and C.A. STOW. Building a multi-scaled geospatial temporal ecology database from disparate data sources: Fostering open science through data reuse. GigaScience 4(28):15 pp. (DOI:10.1186/s13742-015-0067-4) (2015).

STOW, C.A. The need for sustained, long-term phosphorus modeling in the Great Lakes. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41(2):315-316 (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2015.03.001) (2015).

STOW, C.A., Y.K. Cha, L.T. Johnson, R. Confesor, and R.P. Richards. Long-term and seasonal trend decomposition of Maumee River nutrient inputs to western Lake Erie. Environmental Science & Technology 49:3392-3400 (DOI:10.1021/es5062648) (2015).

VanCleave, K., J. Lenters, J. WANG, and E. Verhamme. A regime shift in Lake Superior ice cover, evaporation, and water temperature following the warm El Nino winter of 1997-98. Limnology and Oceanography 59(6):1889-1898 (DOI:10.4319/lo.2014.59.6.1889) (2014).

Wang, D., Y. Yang, J. WANG, K. Mizobata, and X. BAI. A modeling study of the effects of river runoff, tides, and surface wind-wave mixing on the eastern and western Hainan upwelling systems of the South China Sea, China. Ocean Dynamics 65:24 pp. (DOI:10.1007/s10236-015-0857-3) (2015).

Wang, L., C.M. Riseng, L.A. Mason, K.E. Wehrly, E.S. RUTHERFORD, J.E. McKenna, C. Castiglione, L.B. Johnson, D.M. Infante, S.P. Sowa, M. Robertson, J.S. Schaeffer, M. Khoury, J. Gaiot, T. Hollenhorst, C. Brooks, and M. Coscarelli. A spatial classification and database for management, research, and policy making: The Great Lakes Aquatic Habitat Framework. Journal of Great Lakes Research 41(2):584-596 (DOI:10.1016/j.jglr.2015.03.017) (2015).

Wittmann, M., R. Cooke, J. Rothlisberger, E.S. RUTHERFORD, H. ZHANG, D.M. MASON, and D. Lodge. Use of structured expert judgment to forecast invasions by Bighead and Silver carp in Lake Erie. Conservation Biology 29(1):187-197 (DOI:10.1111/cobi.12369) (2014).

Wynne, T.T., T.W. DAVIS, R. Kelty, E.J. ANDERSON, and S.J. JOSHI. NOAA forecasts and monitors blooms of toxic cyanobacteria in Lake Erie. In Clear Waters. New York Water Environment Association, Inc., Syracuse, NY, 21-23 pp. (2015).

XIAO, C., and Y. Zhang. Projected changes of wintertime synoptic-scale transient eddy activities in the East Asian eddy-driven jet from CMIP5 experiments. Geophysical Research Letters 42(14):6008-6013 (DOI:10.1002/2015GL064641) (2015).

Zhang, L., S. Wang, C. He, K. Shang, L. Meng, X. Li, and B.M. LOFGREN. A new method for instant correction of numerical weather prediction products in China. Science China - Earth Sciences 58(2):231-244 (DOI:10.1007/s11430-014-4957-6) (2015).

Zhou, Y., A.M. Michalak, D. BELETSKY, Y.R. Rao, and R.P. Richards. Record-breaking Lake Erie hypoxia during 2012 drought. Environmental Science & Technology 49(2):800-807 (DOI:10.1021/es503981n) (2015).

Zhu, X., G. LIU, J. WANG, H. Wang, X. Bao, and W. Hu. A numerical study on the relationships of the variations of volume transport around the China Seas. Journal of Marine Systems 145:15-36 (DOI:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2014.12.003) (2015).

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Last updated: October 14, 2015, cmd